Downside risk is limited as Dollar Tree is priced fairly
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The market has seemingly priced Dollar Tree as if current margins will not improve further.Dollar Tree offers significant upside if it can further improve margins and if there is a corporate tax cut. Downside risk is limited as Dollar Tree is priced fairly compared to its peers if neither possibility comes through.I value shares of Dollar Tree at $129/share, based on Family Dollar margin improvements to historic levels and continued 35% tax rates. I also provide other valuations, ranging from $104 to $207, based on different results for Family Dollar and for Trump’s proposed corporate tax cut.(Source: Dollar Tree)Dollar Tree operates 14,744 stores, of which 6,604 operate as Dollar Tree and 8,140 operate as Family Dollar.
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